⬇️ My Thoughts ⬇️
now it’s official 😄 ethereum price fell to $2180 📉 interestingly, the majority sentiment of large following X accounts seemed to be bullish please note, I wrote the original post more than a week ago - back then the market sentiment was extremely bullish
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
UN’s Model Double Taxation Convention has a clear key benefit over OCED’s since UN’s model gives more taxing rights for the source state - it’s the one that makes sense for developing economies imagine a developed nation benefiting from cheaper labor in the source state - who created the workforce in the first place, and having their tax base eroded in favor of resident state so the resident state would get double benefit: 1️⃣ cheaper labor 2️⃣ higher tax income for the government on the other hand you could argue for OCED’s model favoring a higher volume of investment, thus effectively distributing more wages throughout the economy. this channels the funds more directly to the consumers, which would end up increasing their purchasing power more than if it had to go through the government first but then again, you must remember the global market is NOT a free market economy. existing legislation overall favors more developed countries, so protective measures for developing countries in the international tax law may make a lot of sense
btw here I’m looking at PAXG (Paxos Gold) token essentially, a 1:1 gold-backed ERC-20 token there is also XAUT from Tether whenever TradFi markets are closed - it’s your go-to for alpha insights can’t believe that in 2025 there is still such a thing as market closure 🤯
gold's behavior during the current “bullrun” has been consistently to flip previous week's resistance to new support in the chart - the green vertical lines are weekly levels gold's current price action suggests it's flipping another resistance for support Road to $3500 🚀
gold's behavior during the current “bullrun” has been consistently to flip previous week's resistance to new support in the chart - the green vertical lines are weekly levels gold's current price action suggests it's flipping another resistance for support Road to $3500 🚀
all eyes on gold futures 👀 COMEX gold futures trading open in 13h markets are closed now, but blockchain never sleeps on-chain gold-backed token futures may give you a heads-up - they’re up ≈1.3% from yesterday interesting to see gold moves after open spoiler: higher price
i warned about ethereum's price downfall towards the monthly support over a week ago - back when everyone was still bullish now, another large liquidation price zone is approaching ≈$2240 what do you think will be the price action after monthly level rebound? trend up or down?
i warned about ethereum's price fall towards the monthly support over a week ago - back when everyone was still bullish now, another large liquidation price zone is approaching ≈$2240 what do you think will be the price action after monthly level rebound? trend up or down?
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
here's some ethereum alpha for the next hours ⬇️ ETH is approaching a large liquidation area at ≈2240 USD the closer we get to the price - the more long closures & liquidations first price down due the selling pressure, then expect a rebound up & I already wrote what's next
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
all eyes on gold futures 👀 COMEX gold futures trading open in 13h markets are closed now, but blockchain never sleeps on-chain gold-backed token futures may give you a heads-up - they’re up ≈1.3% from yesterday interesting to see gold moves after open spoiler: higher price
soooo… new gold ATH next week? look at gold's price chart with weekly candles - it’s unbelievable 🤯 gold is going up like a risky asset - but it in fact is a reflection of risk now it looks like a breakout from another consolidation phase 📈
money market funds yield close to the risk free rate (think of FED funds rate in the US, or ECB deposit rate in the EU), while offering less risk due to shorter maturity essentially, you provide a collateral (highly liquid - usually sovereign debt) and get a loan against it
record $7 trillion USD in money market funds (mmf) this risk-averse liquidity is bound to flow into into other financial assets at some point mmf consists of short-term collateralized loans - credit that is NOT captured by M2 last two outflows coincided with bitcoin bullrun
record $7 trillion USD in money market funds (mmf) this risk-averse liquidity is bound to flow into into other financial assets at some point mmf consists of short-term collateralized loans - credit that is NOT captured by M2 last two outflows coincided with bitcoin bullrun
NotebookLM explains International Tax Law to a Software Engineer okay, from now on I'm referring to soft law as API spec 😂 although if you think about it - with AI/LLMs you can program APIs in natural languages (e.g. English) brb dumping OECD MTC to Gemini for smart contracts
and ethereum's downtrend continues on… towards the monthly support area
okay looks like it started before I could finish typing 😂
okay looks like it started before I could finish typing 😂
look at that buy pressure exhaustion 😫 ethereum's about to go back into red (or yellow, in my chart)
look at that buy pressure exhaustion 😫 ethereum's about to go back into red (or yellow, in my chart)
ethereum's resumed downfall towards monthly ≈$2180 support may be resumed in the next hour this is a 5 minute-candle chart - but contextualize my argument within the greater trend
ethereum's resumed downfall towards monthly ≈$2180 support may be resumed in the next hour this is a 5 minute-candle chart - but contextualize my argument within the greater trend
ethereum's price will very likely retrace upwards once it reaches the core monthly support area the buying pressure there would be immense the same is true for bitcoin's support
ethereum's price will very likely retrace upwards once it reaches the core monthly support area the buying pressure there would be immense the same is true for bitcoin's support
and a week later Ethereum indeed falls sharply towards the monthly support 😄 read up my other posts for more detail - if you’re interested in the rationale behind this move
and a week later Ethereum indeed falls sharply towards the monthly support 😄 read up my other posts for more detail - if you’re interested in the rationale behind this move
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
silver was another spot-on prediction ✅ 2.5 months later the price is up ≈25% silver's price uptrend will continue when silver's price increase is in the magnitude of risky assets - it's clearly telling you something listen to it 🦻
Silver back to August 2020 price After a tariffs-induced pullback of 15% today, silver is now at start of COVID prices So much inflation that still isn’t priced in It will recover. And a lot!
both, gold & crude oil are finishing their consolidation before a further upside bookmark this one for later 💾
“The market is never wrong” A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news Okay. Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon This isn’t a joke
hello hello looks like there wasn’t much momentum behind ethereum's pullback the selling pressure is strong price downside towards $2180 incoming
🎯 Ethereum heading down towards $2180 exactly as I’ve been writing for several days so many accounts with huge following were promising you an immediate bull run now you know which ones you can mute 😄
soooo… new gold ATH next week? look at gold's price chart with weekly candles - it’s unbelievable 🤯 gold is going up like a risky asset - but it in fact is a reflection of risk now it looks like a breakout from another consolidation phase 📈
🤯 Gold may just go straight to $3500 in the next few hours Look at this 15-minute timeframe momentum ⬇️
although gold already did a lot since this post - this is just the beginning ✨ persistent high inflation is here to stay FIAT currencies will continue to devalue, specially with the massive government debit refinancing & further interest rate cuts
All time high for gold incoming…
ChatGPT reaffirms its preference for .txt over .html ✅ if your webpage/landing page is loaded with pretty effects and CSS - remember that that is just a layer of obscurity for the LLM host a plain text version as well - it's simple & effective ≈something akin to llms.txt
grok confirms what I said regarding .txt format ✅ LLM AI models would LOVE if you website provided the key content in plain text the good news is that you can vibe-code that feature text is the universal medium of information, for both, humans and large language models
grok confirms what I said regarding .txt format ✅ LLM AI models would LOVE if you website provided the key content in plain text the good news is that you can vibe-code that feature text is the universal medium of information, for both, humans and large language models
although google clearly isn't a fan of plain text 😭 maybe it is: - 0️⃣ performance - 0️⃣ accessibility - 0️⃣ best practices - 0️⃣ SEO but it still is: - 💯 accessibility i mean... you can access a text file from literally anywhere + your favorite LLM will thank you 🥰
although google clearly isn't a fan of plain text 😭 maybe it is: - 0️⃣ performance - 0️⃣ accessibility - 0️⃣ best practices - 0️⃣ SEO but it still is: - 💯 accessibility i mean... you can access a text file from literally anywhere + your favorite LLM will thank you 🥰
💡FYI there is plain text version of my X posts: https://illya.sh/thoughts/thoughts.txt a .txt file which you can access on any device - including smart watch & IoT no need for JavaScript, CSS or HTML rendering - saves electricity 😄🔋⚡️ text is an LLM-native format - so AI models can easily access, index & reason
