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Illya Gerasymchuk
Financial & Software Engineer

a kind reminder that higher oil prices benefit Russia and Ruble

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-10-24 22:47

a kind reminder that higher oil prices benefit Russia and Ruble

U.S. puts sanctions on Russia --> Oil price increases --> Ruble price increases

This is driven by how Russia's National Wealth Fund (NWF) operates, plus the fact that both NWF and Russia's Central Bank have almost no exposure to USD

a kind reminder that higher oil prices benefit Russia and Ruble
User

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ oil up is GOOD news for Russia & Ruble

every surplus above $60/barrel of Urals oil increases FX reserves in NWF (Yuan or gold) - an interplay between MoF and CBR

exporters pay taxes in Ruble - so higher buying pressure

mark my words:
๐Ÿ‘‰ you'll see USD/RUB exchange rate fall

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ oil up is GOOD news for Russia & Ruble