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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-09-20 14:05

September 2025 FOMC dot plot suggests lower rates than in June 2025

the new implied median for end of 2025 is ≈3.6%, which is lower than the ≈3.9% June figure

this means you should expect the Fed to cut another 50 bps/0.5% in the next 3 months - likely in two 25bps iterations

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how will asset prices react to Fed's interest rate decision?

if the FOMC members suggest rates lower than in the June 2025 - expect an upwards rally in assets

if the FOMC members suggest higher or non-decreasing near future rates - expect a downward rally/profit taking in assets

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