US dollar, DXY & FX market insights
High-frequency views on DXY, dollar funding, cross-currency basis and how USD trends shape global assets.
🇺🇸 USD dominance is alluring, accounting for ≈70% of currency usage worldwide
even countries that do relatively little trade with US have most of their transactions done in US dollars
ex: 🇮🇳 India invoices 86% of its exports in USD, while only 15% of its exports being to US
🇺🇸🇷🇺 USD/RUB rate already fell to July 24th close, below 80
although it's also important to note that there are several factors at play - USD index is also down today
despite oil down - gold is up. this is about the monetary policy of Russia and their balance sheet structure
🇷🇺 oil up is GOOD news for Russia & Ruble
every surplus above $60/barrel of Urals oil increases FX reserves in NWF (Yuan or gold) - an interplay between MoF and CBR
exporters pay taxes in Ruble - so higher buying pressure
mark my words:
👉 you'll see USD/RUB exchange rate fall
