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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer

โฌ‡๏ธ My Thoughts โฌ‡๏ธ

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 11:48

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChina: announces tariffs on 5% of US exports Bitcoin ๐Ÿซ :

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 11:35

If you think ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUSD M2 is bad, look at ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บRussia's In 3 years, Ruble DOUBLED in supply. Up by a 100% How come despite this, Ruble maintained its value in FOREX? The answer is GOLD, more specifically its expansion in the balance sheet of Central Bank of Russia It works ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 11:19

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUSD M2 Money Supply โฌ†๏ธ 790 days to increase M2 by $6.3T โฌ‡๏ธ 550 days to decrease M2 by $1.1T โฌ†๏ธ 500 days to increase M2 by $1.1T โฏ๏ธ QE never stopped, it merely paused When inflation is blamed on tariffs, keep this in mind

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 11:05

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD M2 Money Supply is almost back at pre-interest rate increase levels That QT didn't last after all ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-03 19:08

Remember: FIAT currencies come & go โœจ Only Gold remains โœจ http

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-03 18:33

๐Ÿšจ Financial Stress Index Tariffs Update Trump/US tariffs so far: โฌ‡๏ธ Equity valuation down โฌ†๏ธ Volatility up โฌ†๏ธ Safe assets up โฌ†๏ธ Credit spread up ๐Ÿ“ˆ A perfect setup for the increase of OFR's Financial Stress Index Let's see - it's updated with a 2 day delay

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-03 17:28

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ The best countermeasure that EU can take is swapping US securities for Gold Gold is inversely correlated with USD. Such a decision can be done today and it will: 1๏ธโƒฃbe a response to the US 2๏ธโƒฃincrease value of EUR 3๏ธโƒฃminimize consumer impact Anything else will hurt the economy

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-03 13:31

๐Ÿคฏ USD/EUR down 3 cents overnight ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ An immediate response to Trump/USA import tariffs This is Bitcoin-level volatility in FOREX Volatility is a measure of risk. What does this mean for the US Dollar?

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-02 23:49

๐Ÿšจ Bitcoin Reacts To US Tariffs: As expected, a massive BTC sell-off post Trump's tariffs announcement The price peaked during the speech, and then dumped down more than 6% so far + US dollar index is down A move away from riskier assets & USD into Gold & foreign currencies https://

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-02 23:04

๐Ÿšจ ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต reacting to US tariffs The initial FOREX response to tariffs is a net outflow from #USD US dollar fell against major currencies. The Euro fell against both the Chinese Yuan/renminbi & the Russian Ruble Interesting, but expected having #RUB & #Yuan gain from this https://

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-02 21:56

๐Ÿ”ด $BTC, $DXY & $XAU during Trump's tariffs speech Interesting to observe the negative correlation between Bitcoin & US Dollar Index Gold wasn't clearly correlated with either. This makes sense - the tariffs lead to uncertainty regarding the reserve currency & central bankโ€ฆ https://t.co

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-02 18:00

๐Ÿšจ JUST IN: $87K Bitcoin This is just a pre-tariffs announcements pump that will sell off once Trump speaks in a few hours, right? ๐Ÿ˜

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-31 15:34

๐ŸšจTrump's Tariffs Update - ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ, ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต, ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท Not only tariffs are tanking the US economy, but their strongest partners are looking elsewhere Unsurprisingly, Asia will find other buyers for their products - they have the upper hand, not ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ or ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ - a result of perpetual import deficitsโ€ฆ

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-29 00:42

๐ŸšจUpdate on Ethereum shorts: Latest data shows that institutional investors reduced their short exposure by โ‰ˆ60% Not necessarily bullish - a lot of it is taking profits from the record net short positions + $1900 is a key weekly support level for #ETH, so a rebound is normal

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-27 16:18

๐Ÿ“‰ S&P 500, Motor Industry, NASDAQ, Bitcoin - all down ๐Ÿฅ‡Meanwhile gold hitting ATHs: http

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-27 15:29

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ So the car tariffs are also inflationary USA cars get credit incentives, by making interest payments tax deductible So this means more expensive cars + more credit availability for them You can't make this up ๐Ÿ˜ณ

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-26 22:36

๐ŸŽ‰ Congratulations to the American consumer who now has 2 options: 1. Pay 25% more for the car they want 2. Pay <25% more for a lower-quality domestically produced car + The income tax is here to stay โœŒ๏ธ And you thought the Biden administration was doing questionable moves ๐Ÿ˜‚ htt

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-26 21:30

Architecting your balance sheet around highly speculative & volatile instruments is a good idea, until it isn't ๐Ÿ’– Although with 0% coupon the burden here is mostly on the investor ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ The stock market is starting to resemble a casino more every dayโ€ฆ. http

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-26 21:01

โœ… It's confirmed You can now fully automate niche meme pages With carefully crafted prompts and context it can generate a lot traffic and organic engagement

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-26 20:45

Today, I asked GPT-4o to create a meme about vibe coding But you may need to be an AI language model to understand it ๐Ÿ˜ณ

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-26 20:25

The new GPT-4o image generator is cool, but who else thinks that in the next week or so some open-source Chinese model will it to dust? ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ You can probably already find something close to it on huggingface

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-26 03:45

๐Ÿคฏ GPT-4o new image gen is surprisingly good at generating comics & memes Here's an xkcd style webcomic about vibe coding โฌ‡๏ธ http

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-25 21:13

Do you face the same philosophical issues with your cat? I don't think she sees the irony ๐Ÿ˜ก

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-25 20:50

2nd attempt was much better ๐Ÿ˜

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-03-25 20:49

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