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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer

Bitcoin market, cycles & ETF flows

Timeline of BTC price action, halving-cycle milestones, ETF flows and correlations with macro liquidity.

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-09-27 00:08

when mega caps like gold explode by ≈50% in a year and you don't think that that's a warning sign for US equities/risk asset - you probably should look back at history 😄

Bitcoin and Intel have do have one thing in common - direct monetary intervention from the US government

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-09-25 20:20

you can read the full article/thread explaining why September is generally a bad month for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies here: https://illya.sh/threads/@1755867104-1.html

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my article on repo rates and BTC price was referenced on bitcoin.com

apparently it's been there for a month, but i only noticed now

it's a short read - and explains the negative price pressure that quarter-ends, and especially September bring on the price of liquidity sensitive assets like Bitcoin

it give you a concrete perspective on the current cryptocurrency price dump, even with decreasing funding rates

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-09-25 20:12

my article on repo rates and BTC price was referenced on bitcoin.com

apparently it's been there for a month, but i only noticed now

it's a short read - and explains the negative price pressure that quarter-ends, and especially September bring on the price of liquidity sensitive assets like Bitcoin

it give you a concrete perspective on the current cryptocurrency price dump, even with decreasing funding rates

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-08-22 13:58

this is one of the reasons why September is historically a bad month for Bitcoin

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User

repo rates increase and borrowing decreases in quarter-ends

this includes the upcoming month of September. in addition, September 15th the corporate tax limit in the US

this reduces global liquidity, so asset prices tend to fall

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