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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-08-18 21:14

if you overlay Bitcoin's price history over those yield spreads, you will notice a significant level of correlation

⬆️ Bitcoin appreciates when spreads are lowering and/or low

⬇️ Bitcoin depreciates when spreads are increasing and/or high

makes sense - Bitcoin is a risk asset

User

thus, you interpret yield spreads between US Treasuries and riskier bonds as:

📈 increasing/high yield spread = risk-off
📉 lowering/low yield spread = risk-on