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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-07-05 18:12

once FED lowers interest rates, it's likely to put downward pressure on yields - assuming term premia doesn't increase by more

in the end, the yields will be higher than in the last 20 years, for the same FED funds rate

QE/liquidity injections will further devalue USD

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liquidity abundance leads to the narrowing of spread between riskier and safe assets (mostly government bonds)

safe assets fall in price, with their yields increasing towards the riskier ones

US bond yields are high under tighter monetary conditions - liquidity is pro cyclical

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