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Illya Gerasymchuk
Financial & Software Engineer

Why Physical Oil Trades Above Paper Oil

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Illya Gerasymchuk

2026-04-13 14:56

Why Physical Oil Trades Above Paper Oil

I doubt that "energy analyst experts" can't explain why physical crude oil is trading above CDFs, but I will:

Physical trades above paper, because there is a physical supply shock. Economic downturn expectations put negative pressures on oil futures. This is similar in principle to what happened with gold & silver a few weeks ago. Basis drift is a common occurrence. This drift is bigger during shocks, like what is occurring now.

Why Physical Oil Trades Above Paper Oil
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