Illya Gerasymchuk
Financial & Software Engineer
🧵 Threads/Articles 🧵
Random Forest Cat: An ML Trading Factory
1 thoughts
Why High Oil Prices Are Bad For USD (HINT: China & Credit)
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Crude Oil Prices Continue To Increase
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Using Neural Networks To Find Imbalances In Limit Order Books
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Out of Sample Permutation Feature Importance For Random Forest’s Feature Optimization
4 thoughts
Vibe-Coding Vulnerabilities With Claude Code
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Proxy Model From Polymarket's 15 Minute Bitcoin Price
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Primary Dealers Failures To Settle Implications For Risk Assets
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The random forest that guides my model factory needs refactoring
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China Banned Gold & Silver As Money In 1983
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Gold Outperformed Bitcoin In The Last 8 Years
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How USA Profited 70% On Gold In 1 Year
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Central Bank of Russia Denies Return to USD Payments
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Overfitting In Machine Learning Models Visualized
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Fact-Check: Russia Moving Back To USD?
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My trading ML factory yielded ≈22% return on gold on a daily timeframe, which is almost a double of gold's return in the same time period (≈12%)
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Scarcity Doesn't Make Bitcoin Better Than Gold
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Don't Be Fooled By Backtest Performance
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No AGI With LLMs In Their Current Form.
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AI will follow a much more logarithmic growth than the hype may lead you to believe
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Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust is the first US bank to fail in 2026
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Palladium Is A Great Investment In 2026
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Copper extends its gains to ≈9% on the day, and its appreciating more than gold and silver
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Today's Commodity Miners Sell-Off Is A Buying Opportunity
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Natural Gas Prices Are Very Volatile
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