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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russian Central Bank key interest rate is at 21% #1

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russian Central Bank key interest rate is at 21% 3Y Russian Federation bonds are at โ‰ˆ16.5% yield The market is pricing in upcoming rate cuts @AskPerplexity and @grok will tell you that Ruble & Russian economy are in a bad state. The reality is different

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ and indeed Bank of Russia cuts interest rates down to 20% 3 months ago I wrote about how the Russian bond market was pricing in those cuts a month ago the prediction materialized โœ…

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3 days ago the Russian Central Bank cut down the key interest rate by 200bp down to 18% the only way from here is further down - and if you look at the Russian bond yields that's exactly what they're telling but honestly you don't need advanced quant to reach this conclusion ๐Ÿ˜‚

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Bank of Russia explicitly states 12-13% as the average target key interest rate for 2026 and that's exactly what the bond market is pricing in that's what i mean by this not requiring advanced quantitative or technical analysis ๐Ÿ˜„ multiple factors in play

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