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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer

โฌ‡๏ธ My Thoughts โฌ‡๏ธ

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-07 17:21

TIL that you can pay taxes on vested securities/equities directly with that security Code F on Form 4

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-07 17:15

Insider Trading Before Tariffs If you're curious about how insiders were buying/selling their equity positions, head over to @SECGov's EDGAR & check for Form 4 & 3 filings Here's the latest one from $AAPL

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-07 01:28

Silver is down almost 20%

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-07 01:15

Gold is down 6% from its ATH Still better than equities, crypto & silver

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 23:54

๐ŸšจBREAKING: S&P 500 Fell to 2021 Prices #SPX futures / #US500 is down almost 5% since open โ‰ˆ4 years of gains have been lost

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 21:43

Tariffs are just a distraction from the fact that orange juice futures are down over 50% ๐ŸŠ

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 17:34

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ #MOEX down 22% since Feb Expect it to bounce back very soon - as capital is moved away from USA & USD into alt currencies, which includes Ruble Once the sanctions against Russia are dropped - that's where Moscow Exchange Index will skyrocket ๐Ÿ“ˆ http

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 17:22

๐Ÿšจ US Yield Curve UPDATE Despite the falling $DXY, the yield curve is better (less inverted) than a 1y ago, but worse than 1 month ago Expect a steeper inversion soon

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 17:04

This tariffs-induced volatility is the dream of every trader Clearing houses are banking from fees & comissions Finally, risky-assets/DeFi/crypto volatility coming to your favorite regulated exchange What's even the point of all the regulations in TradFi?

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 16:54

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indian Rupee's M2 supply makes it even worse Net importer + currency inflation is a recipe for depreciation and external dependence

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 15:59

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ BRICS & Tariffs Amid the collective chaos there is a group of nations set to benefit from President Trump's tariffs HINT: it's not the USA โŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ BRICS got geopolitical justification for their existence Tariff-free zone + local currency trade acts as insurance http

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-06 01:04

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India has accumulated a massive trade deficit India imports from China, Russia & then exports to USA & UAE. The imports are also similar to exports & a lot of it is re-exports This deficit isn't sustainable of course https://t.co

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 19:32

$VIX is a measure of expected volatility It's computed from option prices. The price of the option is the insurance/premium that the option seller/short charges So higher option price = protection against more volatility

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 18:50

Tbh $VIX isn't that high (yet )

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 18:13

Institutional longs were just reaching 2022 levels at Q2 2024 How do you think Q2 2025 will look like?

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 17:05

Hedge Funds & High-Risk Loans Leveraged loans are loans issued to high debt/risk entities - akin to subprime loans Tariffs will hurt solvency. Only way out is FED lowering interest rates, so the debt can be refinanced cheaper Otherwise the house of cards falls

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 15:23

Financial Stress Index (FSI) UPDATE as expected, the risk is increasing Sustained volatility will drive the rest up

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 14:33

PHYSICAL GOLD RUSH It's not just Central Banks anymore In the first 4 days of April 2025, over 52K COMEX 100 Gold Futures contracts have been requested for physical delivery Only 4 days in & it's already x2 of January interest Physical gold in high demand

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 13:43

Source:

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 13:43

Silver Physcial Delivery Demand HIGH CME's COMEX & NYMEX Metal Delivery Notices show a MASSIVE demand for physical silver 16.1K futures contract for delivery/physical settlement, up x3 from a year ago A.K.A. tariffs effect on silver Investors are HOARDING silver

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-05 00:22

Switzerland 2 year bond yield went negative Swiss Frank appreciates against major currencies like #EUR & #USD, so investors accept lower (sometimes even negative!) yields Massive demand for #CHF

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 21:31

Russian Ruble vs Euro Past 6 months #RUB up against #EUR by 13% Ruble is up 34% on Euro since January 2025 (YTD)

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 20:54

Silver back to August 2020 price After a tariffs-induced pullback of 15% today, silver is now at start of COVID prices So much inflation that still isn't priced in It will recover. And a lot!

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 20:19

๐Ÿค– I asked Grok 3 why silver is down today DeepSearch said that this is likely due to a stronger USD But #DXY is also down ๐Ÿ˜‚

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-04-04 20:07

Who's selling silver? ๐Ÿ˜ญ ๐Ÿ“‰ CDFs are down 15% on the day ๐Ÿคฏ I guess it's a tariffs freebie ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ

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