⬇️ My Thoughts ⬇️
USD decline prediction was spot-on ✅ 2 months later and US dollar index just bounced off from 97 the past 6 months have been a downtrend for $DXY
🚨US Dollar Index going to ≈98.3 Current price is a strong monthly level The next destination is low 98's
🚀 added a share action to every post so now you can press to open the share dialog it only shares the url, but the preview image of the URL contains the post/thought text definitely plan to open-source this at some point (the repo just needs some cleanup) example in reply ⬇️
reverse repurchase agreement is just the other side (seller) side of a repurchase agreement (buyer) repurchaser provides collateral and receives a loan reverse repurchaser receives the collateral and issues a loan at maturity the repurchaser repurchases the collateral
initial raise, now followed by a pullback large geopolitical events do such moves, however don’t you for a minute think that the thesis is now invalidated 😄 both of these commodities will continue their uptrend
“The market is never wrong” A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news Okay. Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon This isn’t a joke
and this is how the gold market opened green candle straight to $3400 🚀
gold futures market opens in 2 mins!! are you ready?
gold futures market opens in 2 mins!! are you ready?
soooo… new gold ATH next week? look at gold's price chart with weekly candles - it’s unbelievable 🤯 gold is going up like a risky asset - but it in fact is a reflection of risk now it looks like a breakout from another consolidation phase 📈
now it’s official 😄 ethereum price fell to $2180 📉 interestingly, the majority sentiment of large following X accounts seemed to be bullish please note, I wrote the original post more than a week ago - back then the market sentiment was extremely bullish
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
UN’s Model Double Taxation Convention has a clear key benefit over OCED’s since UN’s model gives more taxing rights for the source state - it’s the one that makes sense for developing economies imagine a developed nation benefiting from cheaper labor in the source state - who created the workforce in the first place, and having their tax base eroded in favor of resident state so the resident state would get double benefit: 1️⃣ cheaper labor 2️⃣ higher tax income for the government on the other hand you could argue for OCED’s model favoring a higher volume of investment, thus effectively distributing more wages throughout the economy. this channels the funds more directly to the consumers, which would end up increasing their purchasing power more than if it had to go through the government first but then again, you must remember the global market is NOT a free market economy. existing legislation overall favors more developed countries, so protective measures for developing countries in the international tax law may make a lot of sense
btw here I’m looking at PAXG (Paxos Gold) token essentially, a 1:1 gold-backed ERC-20 token there is also XAUT from Tether whenever TradFi markets are closed - it’s your go-to for alpha insights can’t believe that in 2025 there is still such a thing as market closure 🤯
gold's behavior during the current “bullrun” has been consistently to flip previous week's resistance to new support in the chart - the green vertical lines are weekly levels gold's current price action suggests it's flipping another resistance for support Road to $3500 🚀
gold's behavior during the current “bullrun” has been consistently to flip previous week's resistance to new support in the chart - the green vertical lines are weekly levels gold's current price action suggests it's flipping another resistance for support Road to $3500 🚀
all eyes on gold futures 👀 COMEX gold futures trading open in 13h markets are closed now, but blockchain never sleeps on-chain gold-backed token futures may give you a heads-up - they’re up ≈1.3% from yesterday interesting to see gold moves after open spoiler: higher price
i warned about ethereum's price downfall towards the monthly support over a week ago - back when everyone was still bullish now, another large liquidation price zone is approaching ≈$2240 what do you think will be the price action after monthly level rebound? trend up or down?
i warned about ethereum's price fall towards the monthly support over a week ago - back when everyone was still bullish now, another large liquidation price zone is approaching ≈$2240 what do you think will be the price action after monthly level rebound? trend up or down?
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
here's some ethereum alpha for the next hours ⬇️ ETH is approaching a large liquidation area at ≈2240 USD the closer we get to the price - the more long closures & liquidations first price down due the selling pressure, then expect a rebound up & I already wrote what's next
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
all eyes on gold futures 👀 COMEX gold futures trading open in 13h markets are closed now, but blockchain never sleeps on-chain gold-backed token futures may give you a heads-up - they’re up ≈1.3% from yesterday interesting to see gold moves after open spoiler: higher price
soooo… new gold ATH next week? look at gold's price chart with weekly candles - it’s unbelievable 🤯 gold is going up like a risky asset - but it in fact is a reflection of risk now it looks like a breakout from another consolidation phase 📈
money market funds yield close to the risk free rate (think of FED funds rate in the US, or ECB deposit rate in the EU), while offering less risk due to shorter maturity essentially, you provide a collateral (highly liquid - usually sovereign debt) and get a loan against it
record $7 trillion USD in money market funds (mmf) this risk-averse liquidity is bound to flow into into other financial assets at some point mmf consists of short-term collateralized loans - credit that is NOT captured by M2 last two outflows coincided with bitcoin bullrun
record $7 trillion USD in money market funds (mmf) this risk-averse liquidity is bound to flow into into other financial assets at some point mmf consists of short-term collateralized loans - credit that is NOT captured by M2 last two outflows coincided with bitcoin bullrun
NotebookLM explains International Tax Law to a Software Engineer okay, from now on I'm referring to soft law as API spec 😂 although if you think about it - with AI/LLMs you can program APIs in natural languages (e.g. English) brb dumping OECD MTC to Gemini for smart contracts
and ethereum's downtrend continues on… towards the monthly support area
okay looks like it started before I could finish typing 😂
okay looks like it started before I could finish typing 😂
look at that buy pressure exhaustion 😫 ethereum's about to go back into red (or yellow, in my chart)
look at that buy pressure exhaustion 😫 ethereum's about to go back into red (or yellow, in my chart)
ethereum's resumed downfall towards monthly ≈$2180 support may be resumed in the next hour this is a 5 minute-candle chart - but contextualize my argument within the greater trend
ethereum's resumed downfall towards monthly ≈$2180 support may be resumed in the next hour this is a 5 minute-candle chart - but contextualize my argument within the greater trend
ethereum's price will very likely retrace upwards once it reaches the core monthly support area the buying pressure there would be immense the same is true for bitcoin's support
ethereum's price will very likely retrace upwards once it reaches the core monthly support area the buying pressure there would be immense the same is true for bitcoin's support
and a week later Ethereum indeed falls sharply towards the monthly support 😄 read up my other posts for more detail - if you’re interested in the rationale behind this move
and a week later Ethereum indeed falls sharply towards the monthly support 😄 read up my other posts for more detail - if you’re interested in the rationale behind this move
While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the ≈$2180 monthly support Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you
silver was another spot-on prediction ✅ 2.5 months later the price is up ≈25% silver's price uptrend will continue when silver's price increase is in the magnitude of risky assets - it's clearly telling you something listen to it 🦻
Silver back to August 2020 price After a tariffs-induced pullback of 15% today, silver is now at start of COVID prices So much inflation that still isn’t priced in It will recover. And a lot!
both, gold & crude oil are finishing their consolidation before a further upside bookmark this one for later 💾
“The market is never wrong” A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news Okay. Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon This isn’t a joke