Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer
ex: in the 1980's US fought high inflation by raising interest rates towards ≈20% if the FED did that today - the global financial markets, alongside the US would be destroyed. there wouldn’t be enough liquidity to refinance the debt
using historical behavior can be a great alpha - but you should probably focus on the patterns from this century perpetually low ≈0% interest rates have been a norm only post ≈2009 (but the bubble started before) so you want to look at the behavior in that environment