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Illya Gerasymchuk
Entrepreneur / Engineer

Gold: macro, inflation, miners and price

Ongoing updates on gold price action, central-bank demand, miners and macro drivers in the precious-metals market.

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-08-03 17:06

China sold US treasuries and bought gold - just like I wrote over 3 months ago

gold now accounts for ≈6% of PBoC international reserves, while US treasury holdings are ≈40% from their peak in 2013

off-ramp from USD debt to alternative assets continues its progress

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User

🇨🇳China has been increasing their gold reserves YTD

Gold price keeps going up - major central banks continue to load up

Gold is a hedge against USD. Tariffs are a medium of USD weaponization

👉 Expect US securities sell-off for gold by People's Bank of China

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-08-02 00:59

gold hasn't broken the weekly uptrend - note the higher highs

buying pressure today pushed the price up ≈2.5%

TA is an excellent tool to gauge the price action

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User

gold price is back up to its price 2 weeks ago

so it indeed was a good idea to long it at the pullback

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-08-01 21:45

gold price is back up to its price 2 weeks ago

so it indeed was a good idea to long it at the pullback

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User

consider this gold pullback as a free gift to further extend your long position 🥳

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-08-01 18:14

if you've read my previous posts you know that gold is ≈36% of Russia's international reserves

this is taken straight from the Bank of Russia's balance sheet statement

100% of it is stored in Russia, thus no counterparty risk

critical component of Ruble's strength

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User

🇺🇸🇷🇺 USD/RUB rate already fell to July 24th close, below 80

although it's also important to note that there are several factors at play - USD index is also down today

despite oil down - gold is up. this is about the monetary policy of Russia and their balance sheet structure

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-07-28 19:17

btw the gold depreciation today is due to the appreciation of USD

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User

consider this gold pullback as a free gift to further extend your long position 🥳

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-07-17 12:54

gold is currently the only asset whose leveraged long position can be hedged by adding more to the long on pullbacks 😄

* one of the only - and ofc technically that's not a hedge - but you can read my previous posts to understand what I mean

substance over matter 😉

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User

🚀 you can already feel a new ATH for gold

the loading screen is at 96%

[🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩⬛] 96%

and it won't stop there

price action is showing immaculate breakout vibes 🤩⬇️

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-07-12 15:37

🚀 you can already feel a new ATH for gold

the loading screen is at 96%

[🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩⬛] 96%

and it won't stop there

price action is showing immaculate breakout vibes 🤩⬇️

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User

gold's behavior during the current 'bullrun' has been consistently to flip previous week's resistance to new support

in the chart - the green vertical lines are weekly levels

gold's current price action suggests it's flipping another resistance for support

Road to $3500 🚀

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-07-05 19:06

all of this very bullish for gold & other commodities

it's not just gold & silver - you may have seen the recent appreciation of platinum

those commodities have still have price to catch up on & that has been signaled by their volatility

gold up 40% on the year isn't normal

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User

so today it may not be wise to assume that the FED will hike interest rates into double digits to lower the CPI/inflation

rather - the interest rates are headed down, bc of challenge in refinancing debt

that's what I meant by focusing on historical patterns from this century

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-07-03 17:51

(re)monetization of gold is already in progress

central banks have been consistently buying gold for many years

this is especially true for Russia & China

User

Over 10 years the Russian Central Bank has increased gold holdings by x4.5

🇷🇺 Gold is now 35% of all international reserves held by Russia 🤯

🇺🇸 Comparatively, for USA the number is 5%

This is why Russia and Ruble have been so resilient to sanctions

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-07-02 20:43

🚨🏦 claims that gold is a Tier 1 asset under Basel III are FALSE:

1. gold is NOT a Tier capital under Basel - it's on the liability, not asset side

2. gold had 0% risk weight since Basel I (no haircut)

3. gold is still NOT considered a high quality liquid asset (HQLA)

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-26 15:52

central banks will continue to buy gold

you'll be able to confirm that in their upcoming balance sheets reports. pay special attention to China & Russia

enjoy the dip, because smart money is!

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-22 23:07

and this is how the gold market opened

green candle straight to $3400 🚀

User

gold futures market opens in 2 mins!!

are you ready?

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-22 22:58

gold futures market opens in 2 mins!!

are you ready?

User

soooo… new gold ATH next week?

look at gold's price chart with weekly candles - it's unbelievable 🤯

gold is going up like a risky asset - but it in fact is a reflection of risk

now it looks like a breakout from another consolidation phase 📈

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-22 12:08

gold's behavior during the current 'bullrun' has been consistently to flip previous week's resistance to new support

in the chart - the green vertical lines are weekly levels

gold's current price action suggests it's flipping another resistance for support

Road to $3500 🚀

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User

all eyes on gold futures 👀

COMEX gold futures trading open in 13h

markets are closed now, but blockchain never sleeps

on-chain gold-backed token futures may give you a heads-up - they're up ≈1.3% from yesterday

interesting to see gold moves after open

spoiler: higher price

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-22 10:08

all eyes on gold futures 👀

COMEX gold futures trading open in 13h

markets are closed now, but blockchain never sleeps

on-chain gold-backed token futures may give you a heads-up - they're up ≈1.3% from yesterday

interesting to see gold moves after open

spoiler: higher price

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User

soooo… new gold ATH next week?

look at gold's price chart with weekly candles - it's unbelievable 🤯

gold is going up like a risky asset - but it in fact is a reflection of risk

now it looks like a breakout from another consolidation phase 📈

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-21 18:42

soooo… new gold ATH next week?

look at gold's price chart with weekly candles - it's unbelievable 🤯

gold is going up like a risky asset - but it in fact is a reflection of risk

now it looks like a breakout from another consolidation phase 📈

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User

🤯 Gold may just go straight to $3500 in the next few hours

Look at this 15-minute timeframe momentum ⬇️

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-20 19:29

always important to remember that gold isn't crypto and volatility is a lot more conservative there 😄

you're talking central banks balance sheet assets - not so much speculative, hedging or portfolio management

yet, $3500 gold is just around the corner

User

🤯 Gold may just go straight to $3500 in the next few hours

Look at this 15-minute timeframe momentum ⬇️

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 23:52

Oil & Gold back on the rise

Just as I wrote earlier today

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User

'The market is never wrong'

A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news

Okay.

Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon

This isn't a joke

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 16:33

BTW I soon realized this wasn't an actual ATH for gold yet - but it is coming

The historical chart is showing closing prices, not maximum

So I inadvertently compared current price with closing historical price

Good news - more time for you to accumulate gold before new ATH 😄

User

🚀📈 NEW Gold ATH is in - $3440 per oz

I've been warning about this for a while

You had a little over a month since my original post to load up

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 13:49

💾⏰ Just like with my post about the price of gold a few months ago - feel free to save & set a reminder for this one

The prediction will be correct once again

User

'The market is never wrong'

A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news

Okay.

Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon

This isn't a joke

Quoted Thought Image
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 16:29

🤯 Gold may just go straight to $3500 in the next few hours

Look at this 15-minute timeframe momentum ⬇️

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 14:38

🚀📈 NEW Gold ATH is in - $3440 per oz

I've been warning about this for a while

You had a little over a month since my original post to load up

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User

Now that gold is down & below $3.3K, it's a good time to say this:

🎉 New ATH coming very soon 🎉

In the time of political, civil & economic ambiguity - there is only one recourse - Au

Lower interest rates & QE are coming soon - FIAT down, gold up

💾 Save this & check back

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-12 00:24

🚀 Are you ready?

New all time high for gold is just around the corner

And there will already be a strong resistance in the ≈$3300 area, due to the recent accumulation

Low(er) interest rates + high(er) CPI will then push it up even further

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-05-26 15:56

All time high for gold incoming…

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User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-05-22 13:06

Gold is having its 'calm before the storm' moment 😄

New all time high is coming very soon to all markets close to you

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