Silver price, volatility & gold ratio analysis
Short-form views on silver price moves, gold/silver ratio shifts and industrial demand trends.
and there you go 😄
once the short-term suport line was broken, silver's price fell down to another support
silver's current short-term support line is in green
it will be touched soon
watch it closely!
silver's current short-term support line is in green
it will be touched soon
watch it closely!
even if silver goes down to $30/oz it will still be in an uptrend 🤯
(weekly chart)
in a 6 months timeline, gold's current price dip is a buying opportunity
(silver) a breakdown below the bottom orange line will likely push the price further down, at least to ≈$43.35
so now, watch the orange trend line/triangle 👀
1h candles
silver's key short-term trend support is the green light from the chart
we can only talk about potential pullbacks or consolidations once it's broken
watch it closely 👀
silver and gold move differently, which why I generally refrain from referring to these commodities in conjunction, even though a lot of what I write about gold also applies to silver
both, gold and silver are currently great investments, but they exhibit a different risk profile
silver is a lot more volatile, meaning its moves are amplified in both directions
if you’re planning to hold in the treasury/balance sheet it can play a big difference, as you’ll generally be less liquid with your silver holdings - in the sense that you may find it in a significant pullback from a previous high if you try to liquidate it ad-hoc, especially short-term
silver's key short-term trend support is the green light from the chart
we can only talk about potential pullbacks or consolidations once it's broken
watch it closely 👀
expect silver to correct down by ≈18%
if the correction starts at the current level, that would bring the price down to ≈$36.22
but you may want to place orders above if you want to enter, somewhere from $37.5
silver's current move is already up >25%. it's better to have a pullback somewhere around the current level
it can move up even further, extending the total move to ≈60%, but then you’ll get a larger and longer lasting pull back
when silver moves in smaller increments, it has shorter-lasting consolidations/pullbacks. so this is what i mean by "better"
≈$39.6 is a great area to long silver during the pullback
similar to gold, there is also a strong support below, which will further fuel buying pressure
adapt the exact price to your ticker/derivative. chart below shows how to identify it (dashed line)
in addition to being a store of value, gold is also acting as an investment
it's up ≈40% YTD
this is gold catching up to inflation and accumulated leverage
the financial system infrastructure, including monetary policies of the central banks are correlated
they're heavily exposed to the same set of assets - a lot of which are USD-denominated
this is of course extremely pro-cyclical
quick update on gold:
everything according to the plan - the thesis remains valid. now just wait and let the price action unfold 😄
use these trend lines as a guide
gold tariffs put further upside pressure for gold towards a new all time high on spot
this is in addition to the global monetary, geopolitical and fiscal positive price pressures
a significant part of the markets will be closed for the weekend. there could be a gap on reopen
you can see how accurately gold price has been respecting the trend lines and channels you've seen in my graphs for months now 😄
gold tariffs ping-pong introduced volatility, but like i wrote in my other posts - its upside price pressure
a new all time-high will arrive
new all time high for gold is near 😄
i wrote a thread about the rumored tariffs on gold and what that means for the gold price
also what's coming next
you can read the thread here ⬇️
https://illya.sh/threads/@1754662712-1.html
the tariffs are not on all gold imports - just on a specific configuration - 100oz/1kg bars
this alone won't skyrocket the price of gold, but it adds to the existing breakout pressure
tariffs on gold decentivize gold imports
higher import tax is a disincentive. not sure what' the benefit to having less gold come into US
there's plenty of buyers in Asia who will happily take it. soon you will see more central banks expanding their balance sheets with gold
when you see gold hitting a new all time high very soon - just remember that it wasn't caused by a single event
gold has a growing buying pressure for monetary, geopolitical and fiscal reasons
I've written about it in depth, so search through my post history if interested
it's not only futures of course - the broader physical supply chain of gold is also affected
the more imminent impact is on users of 1kg/100oz gold bars. in the future markets the effect is much more visible and quantifiable - so it will start the price movement from there
🚀 silver price reaching 14 year ATHs
🍷 adding this to list of my predictions that aged like fine wine
the upside price action won't stop here. i explained the reasons for it and what comes next in my previous posts
stay tuned 📻
Silver back to August 2020 price
After a tariffs-induced pullback of 15% today, silver is now at start of COVID prices
So much inflation that still isn't priced in
It will recover. And a lot!
silver was another spot-on prediction ✅
2.5 months later the price is up ≈25%
silver's price uptrend will continue
when silver's price increase is in the magnitude of risky assets - it's clearly telling you something
listen to it 🦻
Silver back to August 2020 price
After a tariffs-induced pullback of 15% today, silver is now at start of COVID prices
So much inflation that still isn't priced in
It will recover. And a lot!
💾⏰ Just like with my post about the price of gold a few months ago - feel free to save & set a reminder for this one
The prediction will be correct once again
'The market is never wrong'
A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news
Okay.
Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon
This isn't a joke
All time high for gold incoming…
Silver Physcial Delivery Demand HIGH
CME's COMEX & NYMEX Metal Delivery Notices show a MASSIVE demand for physical silver
16.1K futures contract for delivery/physical settlement, up x3 from a year ago
A.K.A. tariffs effect on silver
Investors are HOARDING silver
Silver back to August 2020 price
After a tariffs-induced pullback of 15% today, silver is now at start of COVID prices
So much inflation that still isn't priced in
It will recover. And a lot!
🤖 I asked Grok 3 why silver is down today
DeepSearch said that this is likely due to a stronger USD
But #DXY is also down 😂
Who's selling silver? 😭
📉 CDFs are down 15% on the day 🤯
I guess it's a tariffs freebie 🤷♀️
