Silver price, volatility & gold ratio analysis
Short-form views on silver price moves, gold/silver ratio shifts and industrial demand trends.
silver could pullback to ≈$40 before continuing its uptrend
this represents a ≈27% correction from the top
this is the lowest possible bottom for this move - it probably won't go this low. if it does, the move will happen fast, so have your buy limit orders ready. next week is FOMC interest rate decision. the Fed will cut the rates by another 25bps, and other things equal - it's positive price pressure for silver
if the price breaks below $47, it will likely fall closer to $45. expect a stronger support in the $43-45 area
overall, any prices in the vicinity of September 15th 2025 prices is a GREAT buying opportunity
* keep in mind the total 75 bps interest rate cut by the Fed this year is already in progress of being priced in - the market doesn't wait for the official announcement. this is one of the reasons why you had so much upside price volatility in the last month
1 month ago I wrote that silver could extend its current move to ≈60% from the ≈$34.5 price level
silver topped exactly there at ≈$54.5
now my next notes:
treat the pullback and any price consolidation action as a buying opportunity
during the next 6 months long positions entered in this area will be in profit. likely sooner, but 180 days provides a higher confidence timeline
1 month ago I wrote that silver could extend its current move to ≈60% from the ≈$34.5 price level
silver topped exactly there at ≈$54.5
now my next notes:
treat the pullback and any price consolidation action as a buying opportunity
during the next 6 months long positions entered in this area will be in profit. likely sooner, but 180 days provides a higher confidence timeline
silver's current move is already up >25%. it's better to have a pullback somewhere around the current level
it can move up even further, extending the total move to ≈60%, but then you’ll get a larger and longer lasting pull back
when silver moves in smaller increments, it has shorter-lasting consolidations/pullbacks. so this is what i mean by "better"
the promised gold & silver sale is here
if you didn't set your limit buy orders for silver, gold & miners - it's not too late yet
currently in late-September price ranges for many. it's also a good idea to position some buy targets below the current price levels
keep watching the gold price - it's the main driver for all
FOMC meeting is next week
⏰ don't forget to setup your buy limit orders for gold, silver and their miners
⏰ don't forget to setup your buy limit orders for gold, silver and their miners
hope you enjoyed Friday's gold, silver & miners sell-off
now await for the markets to re-open
it begins in a few hours 👀
hope you enjoyed Friday's gold, silver & miners sell-off
now await for the markets to re-open
it begins in a few hours 👀
now crypto twitter seems to think that gold & silver have topped 😂
i don't think CT understands what gold & silver are
we are approaching a local top for silver and gold according to my market vibe meter
usually i'd write a longer post with an explanation & technicals, but today i'm writing of off vibes 😄
my twitter/x feed has been filled with so much euphoria regarding silver & gold that it starts to resemble those accounts which constantly promote Bitcoin
you also have to contextualize how extended gold and silver's moves have been. the graph shows monthly candles
this isn't a bearish post on gold though - still expecting $4000/oz in November 2025 😄
no, "The West" is not manipulating gold and silver prices
silver and gold had retracements many times before, but I guess when it falls on Chinese holidays it becomes "western manipulation"?
≈32% of global gold demand in 2025 comes from China (estimate for jewelry + bar & coin). China is a major buyer of gold - so a lot of demand there
a more reasonable explanation is a demand dip, due to the holiday in PRC. also the US government shutdown. although I agree the idea of a magic red button saying DUMP GOLD located somewhere in the west is more exciting 😄
it's also not clear what would be the purpose of manipulating the price of gold down, as that would be benefiting China - they can buy it cheaper!
PBoC has been buying gold for years, and they will continue to do so. PBoC doesn't announce targets publicly - and they're flexible on their purchases, so again, lowering the gold price would likely allow them to buy it at a cheaper price
