Illya Gerasymchuk
Engineering & Finance
Monetary policy: how central banks move markets
Interest rates, QE, and balance sheet operations aren't just abstract policy — they're the primary drivers of asset prices. These articles break down what the Fed, ECB, and other central banks are actually doing and why it matters.
Even As Central Banks Bought Gold, The Market Analysts Remained Bearish
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In July I wrote a primer on the mechanics by which the Fed steers the prevailing interest rates in the economy.
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Gold as a percentage of balance sheet size in Central Banks (ranked):
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So the Fed will fully resume Treasury purchasing, as a part of their balance sheet expansion starting December 1st 2025
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watch the Fed's projection dot plot, not the Fed Funds rate
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there will NOT be a 50 bps rate cut
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it's not just the Fed, the ECB is also lowering rates into higher inflation
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repo rates increase and borrowing decreases in quarter-ends
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it's NOT yet the top of the cycle for equities, cryptocurrencies and other risk assets. here’s why
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here's what yield spreads are saying about Bitcoin
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by "central bank" I'm frequently referring to the broader set of the legal framework behind the macro monetary policy
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central banks will continue to buy gold #2
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How Does the Federal Reserve Set Interest Rates?
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the FED left the interest rates unchanged - at the 4.25%-4.50% target
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🇷🇺 Russian Central Bank key interest rate is at 21% #2
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🇷🇺 Russian Central Bank key interest rate is at 21% #1
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🇨🇳 china's central bank uses USD value as a key driver in economic policies #2
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🇨🇳 china's central bank uses USD value as a key driver in economic policies #1
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🚨FED just injected $11B of liquidity #2
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🚨FED just injected $11B of liquidity #1
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central banks will continue to buy gold #1
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