Machine Learning
Articles and research notes on machine learning and AI for finance and markets, covering model design, feature engineering, forecasting workflows, validation methods, and practical deployment of data-driven systems.
Random Forest Cat: An ML Trading Factory
Using Neural Networks To Find Imbalances In Limit Order Books
Out of Sample Permutation Feature Importance For Random Forest’s Feature Optimization
Proxy Model From Polymarket's 15 Minute Bitcoin Price
The random forest that guides my model factory needs refactoring
Overfitting In Machine Learning Models Visualized
My trading ML factory yielded ≈22% return on gold on a daily timeframe, which is almost a double of gold's return in the same time period (≈12%)
Don't Be Fooled By Backtest Performance
No AGI With LLMs In Their Current Form.
AI will follow a much more logarithmic growth than the hype may lead you to believe
LLMs & AI Agents Didn't Replace Programming - They Evolved It