Illya Gerasymchuk profile photo
Illya Gerasymchuk
Financial & Software Engineer

⬇️ My Thoughts ⬇️

User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-20 19:23

🎯 Ethereum heading down towards $2180

exactly as I've been writing for several days

so many accounts with huge following were promising you an immediate bull run

now you know which ones you can mute πŸ˜„

🎯 Ethereum heading down towards $2180
User

🎯 Ethereum fell below $2500

first part of my thesis has already played out - a retracement instead of a breakout

weekly candles show constant rejection

now await for what comes next ⏰

🎯 Ethereum fell below $2500
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-19 17:20

πŸ›’οΈcrude oil back above $75

just like I've been warning these past few days

πŸ›’οΈcrude oil back above $75
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-18 13:51

watch. the. move. πŸš€

watch. the. move. πŸš€
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-18 13:49

FYI the new BRICS banknote that has been circulating on social media today is NOT real

it's merely symbolic - NOT legal tender

before a joint currency, there will still be more bilateral trade in local currencies

unless those notes were to tokenize gold

FYI the new BRICS banknote that has been circulating on social media today is NOT real
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-18 13:48

🎯 Ethereum fell below $2500

first part of my thesis has already played out - a retracement instead of a breakout

weekly candles show constant rejection

now await for what comes next ⏰

🎯 Ethereum fell below $2500
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-18 01:21

everybody has been so focused on oil price, that they largely ignored the decrease in US bond yields across the curve

this trend has been consistent throughout the month

interpretation 🧠:

short-term sign of run to safety, specially when combined with gold price

everybody has been so focused on oil price, that they largely ignored the decrease in US bond yields across the curve
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-17 17:20

πŸ›’οΈ Crude oil back above $72 per barrel

Just as I wrote yesterday

πŸ›’οΈ Crude oil back above $72 per barrel
User

Oil & Gold back on the rise

Just as I wrote earlier today

Oil & Gold back on the rise
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 23:52

Oil & Gold back on the rise

Just as I wrote earlier today

Oil & Gold back on the rise
User

'The market is never wrong'

A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news

Okay.

Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon

This isn't a joke

'The market is never wrong'
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 19:27

Contract-as-product approach

That's an interesting way to name it!

Contract-as-product approach
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 17:39

aaand crude oil futures are back above $70

aaand crude oil futures are back above $70
User

'The market is never wrong'

A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news

Okay.

Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon

This isn't a joke

'The market is never wrong'
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 16:33

BTW I soon realized this wasn't an actual ATH for gold yet - but it is coming

The historical chart is showing closing prices, not maximum

So I inadvertently compared current price with closing historical price

Good news - more time for you to accumulate gold before new ATH πŸ˜„

User

πŸš€πŸ“ˆ NEW Gold ATH is in - $3440 per oz

I've been warning about this for a while

You had a little over a month since my original post to load up

πŸš€πŸ“ˆ NEW Gold ATH is in - $3440 per oz
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 13:49

πŸ’Ύβ° Just like with my post about the price of gold a few months ago - feel free to save & set a reminder for this one

The prediction will be correct once again

User

'The market is never wrong'

A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news

Okay.

Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon

This isn't a joke

'The market is never wrong'
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 13:47

Shekel is headed down - to sub 4β‚ͺ/€

Inflation will be a huge problem soon as well

There's always gold πŸ€·β€β™€οΈ

Shekel is headed down - to sub 4β‚ͺ/€
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-16 13:41

'The market is never wrong'

A lot of big accounts posting about how the market knows everything & prices accordingly - even before the official news

Okay.

Now wait & watch crude oil & gold raise up even more in price very soon

This isn't a joke

'The market is never wrong'
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 16:55

While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the β‰ˆ$2180 monthly support

Do not underestimate what the new all time highs in gold are telling you

While Ethereum has built a strong-ish support in the current area, it currently looks more likely to fall towards the β‰ˆ$2180 monthly support
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 16:44

Falling US Dollar index played out exactly as expected

2 months later and it's down another full point

Falling US Dollar index played out exactly as expected
User

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD index bearish/in a downtrend

5Y timeframe weekly chart shows lower highs & lows

Ever since Trump took office, every $DXY weekly candle has been red

Greatest USD economy in history 🫠

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD index bearish/in a downtrend
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 16:39

Interestingly, the yields on US bonds are up across the yield curve - for both, short & long-term maturities

The market - understandably - associated gold, rather than government debt with safety

Interestingly, the yields on US bonds are up across the yield curve - for both, short & long-term maturities
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 16:29

🀯 Gold may just go straight to $3500 in the next few hours

Look at this 15-minute timeframe momentum ⬇️

🀯 Gold may just go straight to $3500 in the next few hours
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 14:38

πŸš€πŸ“ˆ NEW Gold ATH is in - $3440 per oz

I've been warning about this for a while

You had a little over a month since my original post to load up

πŸš€πŸ“ˆ NEW Gold ATH is in - $3440 per oz
User

Now that gold is down & below $3.3K, it's a good time to say this:

πŸŽ‰ New ATH coming very soon πŸŽ‰

In the time of political, civil & economic ambiguity - there is only one recourse - Au

Lower interest rates & QE are coming soon - FIAT down, gold up

πŸ’Ύ Save this & check back

Now that gold is down & below $3.3K, it's a good time to say this:
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 02:06

I hope you used the earlier advice to prepare for a new gold ATH

The turn around the corner has begun

I hope you used the earlier advice to prepare for a new gold ATH
User

πŸš€ Are you ready?

New all time high for gold is just around the corner

And there will already be a strong resistance in the β‰ˆ$3300 area, due to the recent accumulation

Low(er) interest rates + high(er) CPI will then push it up even further

πŸš€ Are you ready?
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 01:57

As expected - 3 months was all that crude oil needed to spike back up

Other commodities like gold, silver & others are up since as well

As expected - 3 months was all that crude oil needed to spike back up
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-13 01:52

While Gold & Oil are up, Ethereum and Bitcoin are down

As expected. A practical reminder that BTC, ETH & altcoins are NOT reserve assets

I am big believer in crypto & DeFi - but it's important to remain rational, even if you are entertained

While Gold & Oil are up, Ethereum and Bitcoin are down
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-12 00:24

πŸš€ Are you ready?

New all time high for gold is just around the corner

And there will already be a strong resistance in the β‰ˆ$3300 area, due to the recent accumulation

Low(er) interest rates + high(er) CPI will then push it up even further

πŸš€ Are you ready?
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-12 00:06

Risk-free rate returns with quant trading strategies may be fairly easy to achieve even with parameter-optimized Bollinger Bands

Not surprising, but unless the return can beat the mid/long-term bond yields - it's also not very useful πŸ˜„

Unless… leverage, of course

Risk-free rate returns with quant trading strategies may be fairly easy to achieve even with parameter-optimized Bollinger Bands
πŸ’¬
User Illya Gerasymchuk -

2025-06-10 19:38

The Ruble thesis remains valid

Up β‰ˆ13% on the USD in the past quarter

The Ruble thesis remains valid
User

🚨 Ruble is up 30% on USD 2025 YTD

82-68 is a strong support - including pre-Ukraine war liquidity

A small pullback is very likely to happen, but in the medium-long term it's heading towards the 68

Once sanctions are dropped by US & EU - RUB will skyrocket

🚨 Ruble is up 30% on USD 2025 YTD